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QUANTUM COMPUTING

PROMISE, POWER AND PERIL

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Tech Tank by Kulana.

While artificial intelligence is stealing the spotlight, quantum computing is quietly gaining momentum, and it may be the most consequential technological leap of the next decade.

In 2024 alone, startups in the space pulled in $2 billion in investment, and global tech giants like Google, Microsoft, IBM, Amazon, and even the U.S. government are pouring in resources to chase what could become a $100 billion industry. Yet today, total revenue in the field barely crossed $750 million.

That’s because quantum computing is still mostly experimental, extraordinarily complex, infrastructure-heavy, and largely impractical for everyday use. But behind the curtain, breakthroughs are happening:

  • Google’s Sycamore is pushing the limits of "quantum supremacy".

  • Microsoft unveiled its first quantum chip.

  • Amazon’s error-correcting processor and IBM’s roadmap to 2029 signal mounting momentum

And yet, as Nvidia CEO, Jensen Huang bluntly said, "15 years may be optimistic" for usefulness.

What Makes Quantum So Different?

Unlike traditional computers that use bits (ones and zeroes), quantum computers use qubits, strange particles governed by the laws of quantum mechanics, which can exist in multiple states simultaneously and affect each other through entanglement.

That means quantum computers could solve certain problems exponentially faster than today’s best supercomputers. The catch? They need to operate in extreme environments (near absolute zero), are prone to errors, and scaling them to usefulness is a huge technical challenge.

But the possibilities are staggering.

What Can Quantum Computing Actually Do?
 

So far, its clearest use cases include:

  • Chemistry & materials science (e.g. plastic decomposition, corrosion modeling)

  • Drug discovery

  • Fusion energy modeling

  • Encryption-breaking
     

And that last one is where things get serious.

The Dark Side: National Security & the Coming “Q-Day”

Quantum computers will eventually be able to break today’s encryption standards, including those protecting your WhatsApp messages, your banking transactions, and military communications.

The fear is what's known as Q-Day: the moment when a functional quantum computer cracks RSA or similar encryption protocols. It could jeopardize global digital security overnight.

The U.S. government has already issued memos on the risk. Microsoft has framed quantum security as a race against China. And companies like Apple are integrating post-quantum encryption into their systems today, not for now, but to protect against decryption of archived secrets in the future.

Meanwhile, intelligence agencies are already collecting encrypted data in anticipation.

Africa Can’t Be an Observer

We believe the quantum conversation must reach African innovation hubs and government agencies, not 10 years from now, but today.

Why? Because the outcomes of quantum computing will:

  • Reshape national cybersecurity infrastructure

  • Create new industries in advanced materials and drug discovery

  • Influence how we train AI systems and simulate complex realities
     

But we must also address hard truths:

  • Is Africa investing in post-quantum security?

  • Are universities involved in quantum research or preparing engineers for the field?

  • Will African innovation ecosystems be ready to leapfrog or be sidelined?
     

Quantum computing is still a high-tech frontier, but the first-mover advantage is real, and those who shape the standards today will shape the rules of tomorrow.

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